self-custody adoption is underpricing liquidity conditions: reading the Mercado Bitcoin tape

Most blow-ups start as comfortable consensus.
Ignoring venture funding because US session flows looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.
Even when feeds obsess over “Mercado Bitcoin Hack: $8M in Ethereum Moved After Attack,” the durable question remains process versus prediction.
If self-custody adoption deteriorates while developer activity looks fine, the tape often turns defensive first.
Cycles rhyme, but the plumbing underneath keeps changing.
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